WRF模式中不同物理參數(shù)化方案組合在中國(guó)近海風(fēng)能資源評(píng)估中的適用性研究

作者：杜夢(mèng)蛟  易侃  文仁強(qiáng)  張子良  王浩

單位：中國(guó)長(zhǎng)江三峽集團(tuán)有限公司科學(xué)技術(shù)研究院, 北京 100038

關(guān)鍵詞：WRF模式 參數(shù)化方案 風(fēng)能資源 適用性

分類號(hào)：P743

出版年·卷·期（頁(yè)碼）：2023·40·第一期（65-78）

摘要：

基于中尺度氣象數(shù)值模式 WRF（Weather Research and Forecasting），分別對(duì)我國(guó)廣東、浙江、山東這3個(gè)近海典型風(fēng)能資源儲(chǔ)備區(qū)域進(jìn)行了45組物理參數(shù)化方案組合連續(xù)1 M的敏感性試驗(yàn)，對(duì)試驗(yàn)中多要素的模擬結(jié)果進(jìn)行綜合評(píng)估，分別確定了適用于3個(gè)風(fēng)能資源儲(chǔ)備區(qū)各自排名前3的物理參數(shù)化方案組合，并對(duì)其模擬性能較優(yōu)的原因進(jìn)行分析。為了測(cè)試3個(gè)風(fēng)能資源儲(chǔ)備區(qū)篩選得到的物理參數(shù)化方案組合的適用性，利用不同于敏感性試驗(yàn)時(shí)段的模擬結(jié)果，結(jié)合海上測(cè)風(fēng)塔和海洋氣象站的實(shí)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)開展進(jìn)一步評(píng)估。結(jié)果表明，優(yōu)選得到的物理參數(shù)化方案組合具有較好的適用性，其對(duì)近海的風(fēng)速模擬性能較優(yōu)，具有實(shí)際業(yè)務(wù)應(yīng)用價(jià)值。

Based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale numerical model, 45 groups of physical parameterization scheme combinations are used to conduct sensitive experiments lasting 1 month for the offshore areas of Guangdong, Zhejiang and Shandong provinces, which are the three typical wind energy resource reserve areas in China, and the simulation results of multiple elements in the experiments are comprehensively evaluated in order to determine 3 physical parameterization scheme combinations that are suitable for each of the 3 wind energy resource reserve areas. Moreover, the reason for their better simulation performance is analyzed. In order to test the applicability of the combination of physical parameterization schemes selected for the three wind energy resource reserve areas, the simulation results different from the sensitivity experiment period are used to conduct further evaluation by using the measured data from offshore wind towers and marine meteorological stations. The results show that the selected combination of physical parameterization schemes has good applicability and their performance for offshore wind speed simulation is better, which has the value of practical business application.

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